Thursday, February 14, 2013

The Daily Stat: How Long Do You Expect to Live? It Depends on How You're Asked

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FEBRUARY 13, 2013
How Long Do You Expect to Live? It Depends on How You're Asked
People who were asked to estimate their likelihood of living to age 85 said, on average, that they had about a 55% chance, but those who were asked their likelihood of dying by 85 said there was about a 68% chance, which translates into just a 32% chance of living to age 85, says a team led by John W. Payne of Duke University. The "live to" framing of the question appears to prompt positive thoughts about living, whereas the "die by" framing prompts thoughts of death, leading to shorter estimates of life span, the researchers say.
Source: Life expectancy as a constructed belief: Evidence of a live-to or die-by framing effect
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